Oil Slips As Investors Watch Diplomatic Moves In Gaza War

The New Diplomat
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By Agency Report

Brent crude futures fell 41 cents, or 0.44%, to $91.75 a barrel, as of 1204 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 55 cents, or 0.62%, at $87.53 a barrel.

Both benchmarks traded over $1 a barrel lower than their previous settlement price at their nadir in Monday’s session.

The intensification of diplomatic efforts to prevent the Israel-Hamas conflict from further escalation could have calmed oil prices on Monday.

“Recent diplomatic developments helped ease tensions, bringing some hope of a de-escalation in the war,” said ActivTrades analyst Ricardo Evangelista.

European Union leaders will call for a “humanitarian pause” in the conflict this week so that aid can reach Palestinians in Gaza, with the leaders of France and the Netherlands set to visit Israel this week.

Aid convoys started to arrive in the Gaza Strip from Egypt over the weekend.

U.S. President Joe Biden, who visited Israel last week, had calls on Sunday with the leaders of Canada, France, Britain, Germany and Italy.

“There is some relief in the oil market that Israel is holding off on a planned ground incursion of northern Gaza to negotiate a release of hostages, which opens up a window for diplomacy,” added Vandana Hari of Vanda Insights.

But Israel continued its bombardment of Gaza on Monday after launching air strikes over southern Lebanon overnight.

Both oil benchmarks notched 1% week-on-week gains for the last two weeks, on fears of potential supply disruption in the Middle East — the world’s biggest oil-supplying region — if the conflict were to spread.

“Escalating wrath in the region will strengthen economic headwinds, potentially rising oil prices will push global inflation higher, monetary tightening could resume, and global oil demand growth will be dented,” said PVM analyst Tamas Varga.

Elsewhere, Norway’s crude production fell to 1.64 million barrels per day (bpd) in September according to Norwegian Petroleum Directorate (NPD) data released on Monday, down from 1.79 million bpd in August and below forecasts of 1.73 million bpd.

Reporting by Robert Harvey in London, Mohi Narayan in New Delhi, Katya Golubkova in Tokyo and Naveen Thukral in Singapore; Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise and Ros Russell

NB: culled from Reuters

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