Why MPC Left Monetary Policy Rate At 14%

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The Monetary Policy Committee in Nigeria has said that the decision to retain the Monetary Policy Rate at 14% was reached after the committee members considered the economic outlook of Africa’s largest economy.

“The Committee in consideration of the headwinds in the domestic economies and uncertainties in the global environment, decided by a unanimous vote to retain the MPR a 14% alongside all other policy parameters,” he stated.

Briefing reporters at the end of the meeting, Mr Emefiele said: “With output growth improving sluggishly, the outlook for 2017 remains unchanged, owing to persisting uncertainties on commodity prices and volatility in financial market as well as slowing demand in the advanced economies and emerging market.

“The MPC welcomed the modest increase in oil prices following the last OPEC decision to cut output and noted the increase in the policy rate of the United States FED in December 2016 and the potential implications of that decision on international interest rates and capital flows.

“While noting the materiality of the cut in oil output, the committee cautioned that the effect could rapidly wane giving a likelihood of a supply glut from non-OPEC members, low level of global economic activity and weak growth”.

He also stated that the committee observed that the medium term outlook continued to be muffled by stagnation and uncertainty in the prospects of global trade, subdued investments and heightened policy uncertainty especially in some major economies.

Mr Emefiele, however, observed that the IMF had estimated that the constraints would decline, paving way for mild improvements in economic growth from 3.1% in 2016 to 3.4% in 2017.

On the Capital Market the Central Bank Governor said: “The Committee welcomes the improvement in the equities segment of the Capital Market, as the All Share Index rose by 2.84% from 25,499 on November 21, 2016 to 26,223.54 on January 20, 2016”.

The committee said available data on key economic variables showed a more stable economy in 2017, saying growth is expected to turn positive, as the fiscal state becomes more accommodative.

“The agricultural sector is expected to play a more significant role in driving growth, giving the expansion of Anchor Grower Programme and other developmental initiatives of the Federal Government,” he further said, reading from resolutions reached at the meeting.

The liquidity ratio and the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) were also unchanged.

While the liquidity ratio remains 30% the CRR is 22.50%.

It also retained the asymmetric corridor at +200 and -500 basis points around the MPR.

 

Business Editor, Lekan Okeowo
Business Editor, Lekan Okeowo
Hamilton Nwosa is an experienced, and committed communication, business, administrative, data and research specialist . His deep knowledge of the intersection between communication, business, data, and journalism are quite profound. His passion for professional excellence remains the guiding principle of his work, and in the course of his career spanning sectors such as administration, tourism, business management, communication and journalism, Hamilton has won key awards. He is a delightful writer, researcher and data analyst. He loves team-work, problem-solving, organizational management, communication strategy, and enjoys travelling. He can be reached at: hamilton_68@yahoo.com

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