The U.S. national debt hit a new $35 trillion landmark, just halfway into 2024.
Since January, the U.S. debt pile has expanded by $1 trillion alone, moving the debt-to-GDP ratio to 98%. By 2032, the International Monetary Fund projects that this ratio could surpass 140% under current policies. Despite the looming threat to U.S. fiscal sustainability, neither Republican or Democratic parties show political incentive to address the rapid pace of borrowing.
A New Milestone is Reached
Today, the U.S. national debt is equal to the GDP of China, Japan, Germany, India, and the United Kingdom combined.
Since 2020, the U.S. has added $11.8 trillion to its national debt, accounting for more than one-third of the current total. For perspective, government debt stood at $9.2 trillion in 2008 and in 1981, it crossed the $1 trillion mark for the first time.
Data as of July 26, 2024. Represents figures at the start of each year.
Looking at it another way, the Biden administration has added $7.2 trillion to the U.S. national debt, coming second-only to the Trump administration, at $7.8 trillion.
As a result, the cost of servicing government debt is surging. In 2024, interest costs on the national debt are forecast to reach 17% of federal spending, making it the fastest growing expense overall. These interest costs are expected to escalate further as higher interest rates drive up the cost of new borrowing.
Moreover, if the government can’t make interest payments, it could jeopardize the dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency. This scenario could weaken the dollar and trigger a liquidity crisis, with broader economic impacts.
Source: Visual Capitalist