One Month To Go! US election: Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden win 2020 presidency?

  • Joe Biden and Donald Trump will go head to head for the White House on 3 November, with polls showing Biden currently has a slight advantage

 By Ashley Kirk; Dominic Gilbert and Bruno Riddy

Who will win 2020 presidency? Democratic challenger Joe Biden is currently leading  Donald Trump  in the national polls as the US approaches its next presidential election.

Currently, the 10-poll average indicates that just  under 50 per cent of Americans intend to back Joe Biden while Mr Trump’s support trails this by around five or six points.

Americans will vote on Tuesday 3 November 2020  in order to elect their next President, either giving Mr Trump another four years or handing over the keys to the White House to Mr Biden.

However, on 2 October 2020 the President was taken to hospital with Covid-19.  It is unclear what effect, if any, this will have on the presidential race. Mr Trump’s age, gender and weight put him into a relatively high-risk category for the virus’s worst effects. His recuperation will hamper his ability to hold the mass rallies that fire up by his most loyal supporters.US election Donald Trump

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On the other hand, the first world leader to test positive for Covid-19, Boris Johnson, saw a remarkable increase in his personal approval rating during his illness. YouGov polling just after he left hospital saw his net approval as Prime Minister go from 4 per cent to 40 per cent, as the British public sympathised with his plight.

Mr Trump triumphed in 2016 despite losing the popular vote, so it is still far too early to say who will win the White House later this year. Donald Trump and Joe Biden faced each other in the first presidential debate on Tuesday night.

In a bad-tempered and at times chaotic debate, the candidates ripped chunks out of each other on their records and issues such as the economy and race.

Mr Trump was rebuked several times by Chris Wallace, the moderator, for speaking over his opponent. At one point, after incessant interruptions from the president, Mr Biden said: “Will you shut up, man?”

Presidential debates re a political version of gladiatorial combat and they have, in the past, turned elections. There are three debates before each election. The first debate  in 2016 was watched by a record 84 million people on TV.

That doesn’t include the millions who watched on Facebook, YouTube, and other online venues, or at parties and bars. For many it was the only time they listened to the candidates speak at length. Four years ago the polls showed it was reasonably close between Mr Trump and Hillary Clinton with neither delivering a knockout blow. This time Mr Trump sees a chance to obliterate his deficit in the polls in a single evening.

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Trump approval static at around 40 per cent as Donald Trump’s presidential approvals are at steady level, according to the Telegraph’s poll tracker. The tracker, which takes an average of the last eight polls, put Mr Trump’s approval rating at around 44 per cent, while 54 per cent disapprove of the way the President is doing his job.

The President’s approval ratings had recovered slightly recently, after experiencing a “rally around the flag” effect with Americans backing the Government to handle the coronavirus crisis.

The period since Donald Trump’s  election has been packed with controversy and intrigue but, underneath it all, few people seem to have really changed their minds about America’s 45th President. His approval rating quickly slumped in the chaotic days after assuming office, with Trump achieving a majority disapproval rating in a record of just eight days.

Three years in, he is far less popular than previous presidents at this stage of a presidency – but overall approval has generally remained above 40 per cent. Still, with the President having defied political gravity four years ago, the jury’s out as to whether he can do the same again against his new Democrat opponent.

*This article is culled from the the Telegragh newspaper, UK

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